Nexters Global Plans To Go Public Via Merger With Kismet SPAC At $1.9B Valuation
? Initial Public Offering
Cyprus-based mobile & social network game developer Nexters announced its plans to go public through a merger with SPAC (special purpose acquisition company) Kismet Acquisition One Corp, founded by former MegaFon PJSC general manager Ivan Tavrin, targeting valuation at $1.9B.
The company will be listed on NASDAQ under the symbol “GDEV”
The deal will be financed with ~$250m held in trust by Kismet Acquisition One Corp, and an additional $50m investment by Kismet Capital Group, via an affiliate
The transaction is expected to bring $150m on the company’s balance sheet, before advisor fees and/or redemptions by Kismet Acquisition One Corp
The minimum required cash for the deal to be closed is $100m.
The founders and the management of Nexters will receive 20m earn-out shares over 3 years with a 12-month lock-up period:
50% of the Earn-Out released at $13.5 VWAP (volume-weighted average price)
50% of the Earn-Out released at $17 VWAP
The deal is expected to close in the second quarter of 2021. The new company will be led by Nexters’ founders: Andrey Fadeev and Boris Gertsovsky
Nexters also reports founders and existing shareholders (including Playrix founders Igor Bukhman and Dmitrii Bukhman) will invest 92% of their holdings into the new combined company with a 12-month lock-up period
Multiplies | 2021 |
EV/NET BOOKINGS | 5.3x |
EV/ MANAGEMENT EBITDA | 13.8x |
? Financial Highlights
During FY 2020, Nexters reported $318m of net bookings, compared to $117m in FY 2019, and $31m in FY 2018
Approximately 37% of net bookings came from the US & Canada, 23% came from Europe and about 19% came from Asia
Total free cash flow to equity (FCFE) in the FY2020 was $120m with a 38% adjustment FCFE margin, while in the FY2019 FCFE was only $19m with 16% margin
Based of the Company forecast, Management EBITDA is expected to reach the level of $138m for 2021, and continue to grow up to $201m in 2023
? Business Highlights (For 2020 FY)
founder-led business with the experienced strategic player Playrix on the board
410%+ CAGR of Net Bookings over 2018-2020 period
$318m Net Bookings (~$460m Gross Bookings) and $120m adj. FCFE (~26% FCFE/Gross Bookings)
74% of net bookings generated by the mobile platform, 17% by social, and 9% by web
diversified end-markets by net-bookings: 37% US&Canada, 23% Europe, 19% Asia
about 95% of revenue generated by in‐game purchases
5.4m MAUs and 0.8m DAUs with ~$100 average net bookings per paying user
435 employees, including 230 developers/data scientists and 65 marketing headcount
? Products
Nexters is a mobile game developer behind popular action RPG Hero Wars. The company is also known for the casual adventure game Island Experiment and MMORPG Throne Rush
According to AppMagic data, the games published by Nexters have been downloaded more than 100m times, with a peak of $7m downloads in January 2020. The absolute majority of downloads comes from Nexters’ flagship Hero Wars
Currently, Nexters works on 3 new casual titles, that are expected to expand the company’s portfolio in 2021: an adventure game with match-3 elements Riddle Island and two farming games with adventure elements Chibi Island and Puzzle Island
In 2021, the company also plans to begin developing the sequel of Hero Wars flagship title. However, it is too early to speak about the release date
? Major Concerns
Single-hit (Hero Wars) gaming business
Relatively aged flagship title released in Oct’16 (iOS) / Feb’17 (Android)
A risky transition in the product strategy — shifting away from mid-core to casual with Nexter’s limited expertise in launching successful match-3/farming games (competing with Playrix’s core expertise)
Limited Nexter’s management practice in executing M&As in the gaming sector (but experienced shareholders — Kismet led by Ivan Tavrin and Playrix)
Potential conflicts of interest between Nexters and Plarix in multiple areas:
Same labor markets (Russia/CIS);
Casual product portfolio;
Potential M&As in Russia/Former Soviet Union
SOURCES: NEXTERS, PRESENTATION